Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Bublik — Wimbledon Round of 64
Jacquet K.
Kyrian Jacquet faces Alexander Bublik in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Alexander Bublik is the paper favourite — ranked #11, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage — but Kyrian Jacquet arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on grass to Alexander Bublik's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Bublik A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Kyrian Jacquet 136 games in 14 days, Alexander Bublik 20.
- Under pressure: Alexander Bublik has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Kyrian Jacquet's 47).
- Last match: Alexander Bublik dropped the opening set before beating Thanasi Kokkinakis 4–6 6–3 6–7 6–3 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquet K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.