Alex De Minaur vs Roman Andres BurruchagaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#8ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
#61ATP
1711ELO
1551Grass ELO
$458kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
De Minaur A.
7-6 6-1 6-0
Burruchaga R.
De Minaur A.
7663
Burruchaga R.
6100

Alex De Minaur defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. De Minaur won in straight sets 7-6, 6-1, 6-0. He converted 71% of his break points and made five service breaks to Burruchaga's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
67
Break points saved·Dominant
98
68
Break points won·Clear edge
97
73
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
De Minaur A.93%
Burruchaga R.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · De Minaur A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+256 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Grass Elo 1578
8.0Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1724
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in United Kingdom (37)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
91

De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw