Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#65ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Burruchaga R.
6-3 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Burruchaga R.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
340

Roman Andres Burruchaga defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 6-4 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Serve advantage — Burruchaga R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Burruchaga R.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
90
Break points won·Slight edge
73
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1694
Surface ELO
5.1+47 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1759
3.6No prior meetings
H2H
6.4
6.9
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.7
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
97

Burruchaga R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%