Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Alex De Minaur
AUS5
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 1st on
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#46ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$644kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
De Minaur A.
6-3 6-2 6-2
Mannarino A.
De Minaur A.
6663
Mannarino A.
3220

Alex De Minaur defeated Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-3, 6-2, 6-2. De Minaur hit 7 aces and committed 7 double faults, while converting 55% of break points and winning 79% of first-serve points. He broke Mannarino's serve 6 times, compared to 2 breaks for Mannarino.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–2 6–2.

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-13s HertogenboschSFgrassAlex De Minaur4-6 0-6
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassAlex De Minaur6-4 4-6 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR64hardAlex De Minaur7-6 4-6 6-4 6-1
2022-07-25AtlantaQFhardAlex De Minaur4-6 6-3 6-0
2022-06-06s HertogenboschR16grassAdrian Mannarino6-2 6-3
2019-09-23ZhuhaiFhardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Mannarino A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Mannarino A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
88
Break points won·Clear edge
96
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
De Minaur A.88%
Mannarino A.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · De Minaur A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Mannarino A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+166 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1667
8.5Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1680
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.3Won 71% in United Kingdom (38)
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (38)
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Mannarino A.
Freshness·Even
100
100

De Minaur A.: 20 days rest · Mannarino A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw