Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel — Wimbledon Round of 128
Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
CZE15#16ATP
1931ELO
1716Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 3rd on
GBRWC#113ATP
1745ELO
1595Grass ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Mensik J.5-7 6-3 6-3 3-6 7-6
Samuel T.
Mensik J.
566373
Samuel T.
733662
Jakub Mensik defeated Toby Samuel in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-3, 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 in favor of Mensik. He hit 13 aces to Samuel's 5 and had a first-serve win percentage of 74 compared to Samuel's 68.
Key context
- Match story: Jakub Mensik dropped the opening set before beating Toby Samuel 5–7 6–3 6–3 3–6 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCMensik J.89%
Samuel T.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
7.6+210 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO2.4Grass Elo 1505
8.5Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap1.5Overall Elo 1650
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.66 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 42%