Alex De Minaur vs Toby SamuelRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 128
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 May 2026 ·
clay
Court 14 · 1st on
#123ATP
1745ELO
1635Clay ELO
$175kYTD
$290kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-4 6-2
Samuel T.
De Minaur A.
6663
Samuel T.
4420

Alex De Minaur defeated Toby Samuel 6-4 6-4 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–4 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Samuel T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Samuel T.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+334 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1526
8.6Overall Elo 1968
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1680
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.66 of last 8 on clay
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.4Won 56% in FRA (41)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
93

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Samuel T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
De Minaur A.[8]
Samuel T.
6-46-46-2