Alex De Minaur vs Jakub MensikRoland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 32
#5ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Friday, 29 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Simonne-Mathieu · 3rd on
#19ATP
1931ELO
1861Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-0 2-6 2-6 3-6
Mensik J.
De Minaur A.
62231
Mensik J.
06663

Jakub Mensik defeated Alex De Minaur 0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jakub Mensik claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-1
2025-09-25BeijingQFhardAlex De Minaur4-1 RET
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-4
2025-02-03RotterdamR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2024-10-21ViennaQFhardAlex De Minaur6-7(2) 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Mensik J.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
12.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
97
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+107 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1782
6.0Overall Elo 1978
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1898
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.4Won 57% in FRA (42)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
8.5Excels in hot weather
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
88

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 31%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final