Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov — Wimbledon Round of 64
CZE
Mensik J.
Jakub Mensik faces Grigor Dimitrov in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jakub Mensik holds the paper edge — ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jakub Mensik 38 games in 14 days, Grigor Dimitrov 114.
- Last match: Jakub Mensik dropped the opening set before beating Toby Samuel 5–7 6–3 6–3 3–6 7–6.
- Head-to-head: Jakub Mensik leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMensik J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R16 | hard | Jakub Mensik | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | R64 | clay | Jakub Mensik | 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 |