Jakub Mensik vs Grigor DimitrovWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#16ATP
1931ELO
1716Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 3rd on
#138ATP
1744ELO
1662Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Mensik J.
6-7 6-4 5-7 3-6
Dimitrov G.
Mensik J.
66531
Dimitrov G.
74763

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Jakub Mensik in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 in favor of Dimitrov. Dimitrov hit 10 aces and 6 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 3 service breaks, compared to Mensik's 31 aces, 4 double faults, 13% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Grigor Dimitrov closed it out in four sets, 7–6 4–6 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardJakub Mensik6-3 3-6 6-4
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayJakub Mensik6-2 6-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.4
8.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
86
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
71
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mensik J.79%
Dimitrov G.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1662
7.2Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1754
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.8Won 64% in United Kingdom (44)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
89

Mensik J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw