Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub MensikIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-2 4-6 6-2
Mensik J.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6462
Mensik J.
2621

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Jakub Mensik 6-2 4-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #18, defending last year's round of 64. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-4
2025-06-23EastbourneQFgrassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina3-6 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2
2024-02-26DubaiR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(7) 1-0 RET
2024-02-19DohaR32hardJakub Mensik7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Mensik J.
40
Serve
42
53
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
12.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
95
77
Deciding sets·Even
91
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1842
Surface ELO
5.7+51 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1931
8.1
H2H
1.9
6.0
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
86

Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%