Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#19ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 2nd on
#52ATP
1718ELO
1563Grass ELO
$707kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLL
Tiafoe F.
7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4
Atmane T.
Tiafoe F.
786463
Atmane T.
661641

Frances Tiafoe came through a 40-game battle to beat Terence Atmane 7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 128.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 8: A 13-point game with four deuces went Frances Tiafoe's way.
  • Momentum: Frances Tiafoe won seven games in a row.
  • Set 4, game 5: Frances Tiafoe broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Frances Tiafoe converted 5 of 9 break points; Terence Atmane converted 3 of 10 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Tiafoe F.
Atmane T.
Break points won
5/9
3/10
Break points saved
7/10
4/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 1-6 6-4
2026-02-09DallasR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Atmane T.

Atmane T.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.6
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
56
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
57
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
53
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Tiafoe F.85%
Atmane T.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tiafoe F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+261 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Grass Elo 1563
7.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1718
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.58 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.1Won 51% in GBR (37)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Atmane T.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 45%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Mochizuki S.
Medvedev D.
Zheng M.
Safiullin R.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.