Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo HumbertCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 6-4
Humbert U.
Tiafoe F.
662
Humbert U.
440

Frances Tiafoe defeated Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe7-5 7-6(9)
2020-02-17Delray BeachQFhardUgo Humbert6-1 6-2
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardFrances Tiafoe4-2 4-3(5) 3-4(4) 4-1

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Humbert U.
38
Serve
64
37
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
57
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.1+18 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1843
5.4Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1868
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.3
Country comfort
4.9
Surface transition
7.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
92

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%