Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe — Stuttgart Round of 32

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 32
GER
Daniel Altmaier
#85ATP
1711ELO
1548Grass ELO
$464kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTER COURT · 4th on
USA
Frances Tiafoe
#26ATP
1866ELO
1734Grass ELO
$980kYTD
$17MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW

Frances Tiafoe came through a 33-game battle to beat Daniel Altmaier 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Stuttgart round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: Frances Tiafoe saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 1, game 8: A 13-point game with four deuces went Daniel Altmaier's way.
  • Set 3, game 5: Frances Tiafoe broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Daniel Altmaier converted 2 of 9 break points; Frances Tiafoe converted 2 of 11 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC
Altmaier D.17%
Tiafoe F.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tiafoe F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Altmaier D.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Tiafoe F.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1548
Surface ELO
7.3+186 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1866
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.64 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
4.0Home country · 0/3 here
Country comfort
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Altmaier D.
63641
Tiafoe F.
77462

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-5 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Altmaier D.Tiafoe F.
63%1st serve in+1%62%
70%1st serve points won+3%73%
47%2nd serve points won+7%54%
61%Service points won+5%66%
37%Return points won+2%35%
57%Break points saved+8%65%
5.6Aces / match+0.66.2
2.1Double faults / match+0.71.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw