Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe — Halle Round of 32
Halle · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1864ELO
1744Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#26ATP
1866ELO
1734Grass ELO
$980kYTD
$17MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWL
Flavio Cobolli faces Frances Tiafoe in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Flavio Cobolli is the paper favourite — ranked #10, defending last year's quarter-final — but Frances Tiafoe has won 3 of their 4 previous meetings, though none on grass.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Frances Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 3–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Indian Wells Masters 2026.
- Fatigue load: Flavio Cobolli carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Flavio Cobolli defends last year's quarter-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCCobolli F.53%
Tiafoe F.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.9Grass Elo 1734
5.0Overall Elo 1864
ELO gap5.0Overall Elo 1866
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.15 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in DEU (23)
Country comfort3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transitionContext
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
12°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%
Head to head
1–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Frances Tiafoe | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | F | hard | Flavio Cobolli | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | R16 | hard | Frances Tiafoe | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Delray Beach | QF | hard | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-2 |
Statistics
Recent form56%1st serve in+6%62%
74%1st serve points won+1%73%
53%2nd serve points won+1%54%
65%Service points won+1%66%
38%Return points won+3%35%
69%Break points saved+4%65%
6Aces / match+0.26.2
3.1Double faults / match+1.71.4
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.