Frances Tiafoe vs Flavio CobolliWashington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-1 6-4
Cobolli F.
Tiafoe F.
662
Cobolli F.
140

Frances Tiafoe defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-4 in the Washington round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15HalleR32grassFrances Tiafoe2-6 6.4-7.7
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-1 6-2
2026-02-23AcapulcoFhardFlavio Cobolli7-6(4) 6-4
2024-02-12Delray BeachQFhardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Cobolli F.
38
Serve
20
37
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
57
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1810
5.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1896
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.0
Surface form
2.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.3
Country comfort
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
71

Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%