Frances Tiafoe vs Flavio CobolliIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-1 6-2
Cobolli F.
Tiafoe F.
662
Cobolli F.
120

Frances Tiafoe defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15HalleR32grassFrances Tiafoe2-6 6.4-7.7
2026-02-23AcapulcoFhardFlavio Cobolli7-6(4) 6-4
2025-07-21WashingtonR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-1 6-4
2024-02-12Delray BeachQFhardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Cobolli F.
38
Serve
20
37
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Even
6.5
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
57
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1810
5.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1896
6.1
H2H
3.9
7.5
Surface form
8.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
56

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%