Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel CerundoloWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#27ATP
1893ELO
1782Grass ELO
$1.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#51ATP
1790ELO
1570Grass ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-4 6-4 7-6
Cerundolo J.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6673
Cerundolo J.
4460

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Davidovich Fokina. Davidovich Fokina had 0 aces and 0 double faults, while Cerundolo had 12 aces and 5 double faults; Davidovich Fokina won 74% of first-serve points and converted 42% of break points, compared to Cerundolo's 60% and 60%, respectively; Davidovich Fokina secured 5 service breaks to Cerundolo's 3.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.9
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Clear edge
94
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
96
Tiebreaks·Even
79
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Davidovich Fokina A.86%
Cerundolo J.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+210 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1507
6.0Overall Elo 1863
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1779
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.62 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.3Won 55% in United Kingdom (22)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Cerundolo J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw