Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Jannik Sinner
ITA
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.7MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Nuno Borges
POR
Nuno Borges
#48ATP
1746ELO
1603Grass ELO
$787kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLWLW
Sinner J.
vs
Borges N.

Jannik Sinner faces Nuno Borges in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jannik Sinner holds the paper edge — ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Sinner J.96%
Borges N.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sinner J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Borges N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+485 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1603
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1746
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.49 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.7Won 78% in GBR (27)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Sinner J.Cooling
Borges N.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Borges N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
75%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.0
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Borges N.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
78
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
100
54
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Sinner J.Borges N.
83
Serve
—
82
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Borges N.
Freshness·
—
75

Borges N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26SofiaR16hardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-3 1-3
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-4 4-6 5-7 1-2
Zheng M.
Norrie C.
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7.7-6.4 0-0
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-5
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
Fritz T.
Lajovic D.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
Moutet C.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Kwon S.
Paul T.
—
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
—
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
—
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
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