Jannik Sinner vs Andrey RublevRome Masters Quarter-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 14 May 2026 ·
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWL
Sinner J.
6-2 6-4
Rublev A.
Sinner J.
662
Rublev A.
240

Jannik Sinner defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4 in the Rome Masters quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–3, defending last year's final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

Head to head

73
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayJannik Sinner6-1 6-3 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardJannik Sinner4-6 7-5 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 1-6 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(5) 6-3
2023-10-23ViennaSFhardJannik Sinner7-5 7-6(5)
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayAndrey Rublev1-6 6-4 2-0 RET
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner5-7 6-1 6-3
2021-04-19BarcelonaQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 7-6(6)
2020-10-26ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev2-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Rublev A.
99
Serve
14
91
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
75%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.0
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
100
72
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+343 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Clay Elo 1872
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
7.6
10.020-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
8.4
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
95

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 57%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final