Jannik Sinner vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Sinner J.
6-1 6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Sinner J.
6663
Rublev A.
1340

Jannik Sinner defeated Andrey Rublev 6-1 6-3 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–3, defending last year's semi-final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

73
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-14Rome MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardJannik Sinner4-6 7-5 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 1-6 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(5) 6-3
2023-10-23ViennaSFhardJannik Sinner7-5 7-6(5)
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayAndrey Rublev1-6 6-4 2-0 RET
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner5-7 6-1 6-3
2021-04-19BarcelonaQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 7-6(6)
2020-10-26ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev2-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Rublev A.
99
Serve
14
91
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
65%
Aces / match·Even
7.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
100
72
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+343 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Clay Elo 1872
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.8
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.9
Country comfort
5.8
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
93

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%
R128
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[7]
7-53-66-36-1
Quinn E.
Dimitrov G.[16]
2-63-66-2
Mensik J.[26]
Muller A.
7-56-757-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Schoolkate T.[15]
6-46-26-2
Kopriva V.
Monteiro T.
6-46-34-66-766-1
Fearnley J.
Wawrinka S.
7-666-36-2
Shelton B.[5]
Sonego L.
6-44-63-66-26-3
Halys Q.
Machac T.[21]
7-644-1
Dzumhur D.
Tirante T.
3-66-46-37-5
Herbert P.
Bonzi B.
7-53-64-67-56-2
Rune H.[10]
Bautista Agut R.
6-746-46-36-2
Galan D.
Royer V.
7-666-33-66-747-5
Khachanov K.[13]
Vukic A.
6-46-46-4
De Jong J.
Passaro F.
3-66-776-47-616-1
Borges N.
Jacquet K.
3-66-736-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Safiullin R.
6-47-56-4
Tabilo A.
Cazaux A.
5-76-36-21-66-3
Walton A.
Marterer M.
7-634-66-32-66-2
Moutet C.[30]
Tabur C.
6-37-666-3
Popyrin A.[25]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-41-2
Rublev A.[11]
Harris L.[31]
6-44-66-36-1
Paul T.[24]
Moller E.
6-756-26-36-1
Misolic F.
Yunchaokete B.
5-77-637-646-1
Gaston H.
Blanchet U.
2-66-02-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-56-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-46-37-5
Navone M.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-624-66-16-2
Medjedovic H.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-37-62
Cobolli F.[10]
Cilic M.
6-26-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Giron M.
4-66-36-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Tien L.[18]
6-36-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-26-746-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-46-2
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
1-66-37-57-63
Munar J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-17-5
Gomez F.
Kovacevic A.
4-66-46-46-1
Musetti L.[8]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-26-0
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-27-637-5
Cerundolo J.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-36-26-4
Draper J.[5]
Bellucci M.
3-66-16-46-2
Gigante M.
Hassan B.
6-46-26-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Djere L.
6-36-47-66
Ofner S.
Struff J.
7-656-36-756-2
Rocha H.[11]
Basilashvili N.[9]
7-602-67-692-66-2
Gasquet R.
Atmane T.
6-22-66-36-0
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-736-746-46-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-656-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-36-3
Norrie C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-56-34-61-67-5
Lehecka J.[12]
Thompson J.
6-46-26-1
Monfils G.
Dellien H.
4-63-66-17-646-1
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
6-13-66-36-2
Nava E.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-27-57-5
Shevchenko A.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-26-47-64
Humbert U.[32]
Oconnell C.
7-56-37-63
Fonseca J.[28]
Hurkacz H.[30]
6-26-46-2
Marozsan F.
Nardi L.
6-26-37-63
Fils A.[14]
Jarry N.
6-36-46-766-3
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
5-72-66-36-46-2
Korda S.[23]
Darderi L.[14]
6-24-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Martinez P.[24]
6-26-06-3
Bublik A.[9]
Duckworth J.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[15]
Ramos A.
6-36-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[20]
Etcheverry T.[23]
7-56-36-4