Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev — Australian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · ATP · Quarter-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA4
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Sinner J.
6-4 7-6 6-3
Rublev A.
Sinner J.
67763
Rublev A.
46530

Jannik Sinner defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–3, defending last year's round of 16. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in three sets, 6–4 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

7–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-14Rome MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayJannik Sinner6-1 6-3 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardJannik Sinner4-6 7-5 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 1-6 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaSFhardJannik Sinner7-5 7-6(5)
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayAndrey Rublev1-6 6-4 2-0 RET
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner5-7 6-1 6-3
2021-04-19BarcelonaQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 7-6(6)
2020-10-26ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev2-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Rublev A.
100
Serve
55
100
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
100
72
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 50 days (−0.7)
Rublev A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+415 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1849
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.3
Surface form
6.5
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Rublev A.
Freshness·Dominant
59
94

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[4]
Medvedev D.[3]
3-63-66-46-46-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-16-26-766-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[6]
5-73-67-647-656-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-47-656-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-642-66-35-76-4
Zverev A.[6]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-16-36-726-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.[12]
7-634-66-26-3
R16
Fritz T.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[7]
7-635-76-36-3
Sinner J.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-47-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Borges N.
6-37-645-76-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-46-0
Djokovic N.[1]
Mannarino A.[20]
6-06-06-3
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-46-756-746-36-0
Hurkacz H.[9]
Cazaux A.
7-667-636-4
Zverev A.[6]
Norrie C.[19]
7-53-66-34-67-63
R32
Khachanov K.[15]
Machac T.
6-47-644-67-65
Rublev A.[5]
Korda S.[29]
6-27-666-4
Cazaux A.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-36-36-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shang J.
6-16-11-0
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Van Assche L.
6-36-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
6-36-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.[14]
6-43-62-67-676-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Cobolli F.
6-36-36-1
Borges N.
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-736-46-27-66
Mannarino A.[20]
Shelton B.[16]
7-641-66-726-36-4
Fritz T.[12]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-26-2
Sinner J.[4]
Baez S.[26]
6-06-16-3
Hurkacz H.[9]
Humbert U.[21]
3-66-17-646-3
Zverev A.[6]
Michelsen A.
6-27-646-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.[30]
6-36-37-62
Norrie C.[19]
Ruud C.[11]
6-46-776-46-3
R64
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Thompson J.
4-67-666-27-64
Sinner J.[4]
De Jong J.
6-26-26-2
Baez S.[26]
Galan D.
7-52-66-26-4
Humbert U.[21]
Zhang Z.
6-25-76-17-63
Norrie C.[19]
Zeppieri G.
3-66-746-26-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Mensik J.
6-796-15-76-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Struff J.[24]
6-41-67-651-67-69
Fritz T.[12]
Gaston H.
6-06-36-1
Cazaux A.
Rune H.[8]
7-646-44-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sonego L.
6-46-736-37-63
Etcheverry T.[30]
Monfils G.
6-46-46-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Munar J.
6-36-31-62-66-3
Shelton B.[16]
Oconnell C.
6-46-13-67-65
Van Assche L.
Musetti L.[25]
6-33-66-756-36-0
Khachanov K.[15]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-34-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-06-3
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
7-56-35-76-2
Korda S.[29]
Halys Q.
6-46-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-24-66-4
Borges N.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
7-676-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Grenier H.
6-13-66-16-2
Zverev A.[6]
Klein L.
7-53-64-67-657-67
Michelsen A.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-36-46-4
Ruud C.[11]
Purcell M.
6-36-756-33-67-67
Paul T.[14]
Draper J.
6-23-66-37-5
Shang J.
Nagal S.
2-66-37-56-4
Griekspoor T.[28]
Fils A.
3-66-17-56-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-716-47-616-0
Marozsan F.
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-656-46-2
Machac T.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-46-47-65
Djokovic N.[1]
Popyrin A.
6-34-67-646-3
R128
Popyrin A.
Polmans M.
6-37-636-2
Monfils G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-46-37-5
Baez S.[26]
Wolf J.
3-66-26-33-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Raonic M.
6-766-32-0
Korda S.[29]
Kopriva V.
6-16-42-64-66-2
Zhang Z.
Coria F.
6-47-637-65
Mensik J.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-57-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Jasika O.
7-646-46-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Atmane T.
5-76-26-41-0
Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
Varillas J.
6-46-46-2
Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
6-16-36-1
Struff J.[24]
Hijikata R.
3-66-36-26-727-68
Kovacevic A.
Tabilo A.
6-727-671-66-16-3
Van Assche L.
Duckworth J.
6-726-33-66-36-3
Zeppieri G.
Lajovic D.
6-33-66-37-63
Griekspoor T.[28]
Safiullin R.
2-63-67-636-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[18]
6-43-66-32-67-5
Etcheverry T.[30]
Murray A.
6-46-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Altmaier D.
5-76-37-657-63
Fils A.
Vesely J.
4-67-56-26-3
Humbert U.[21]
Goffin D.
6-27-55-76-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Prizmic D.
6-26-756-36-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Wawrinka S.
6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-1
Oconnell C.
Garin C.
3-67-54-66-17-5
Shelton B.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-627-5
Gaston H.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-23-66-4
Marozsan F.
Cilic M.
6-12-66-27-5
Musetti L.[25]
Bonzi B.
7-637-644-66-2
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
3-67-636-23-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Bergs Z.
5-76-16-16-3
Sinner J.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-47-56-3
De Jong J.
Cachin P.
4-66-26-36-4
Galan D.
Kubler J.
2-66-37-634-67-68
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
6-37-672-66-3
Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
7-56-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
7-656-26-4
Kotov P.
Rinderknech A.
7-56-16-766-756-3
Halys Q.
Harris L.
4-67-657-57-62
Rune H.[8]
Nishioka Y.
6-24-67-636-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
Marterer M.
7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
6-46-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Thiem D.
6-37-56-755-76-3
Grenier H.
Muller A.
2-67-634-66-47-67
Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Barrere G.
6-26-36-3
Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
Djere L.
6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
Valkusz M.
3-67-626-47-5
Nagal S.
Bublik A.[31]
6-46-27-65
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
6-31-63-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2