Alex De Minaur vs Nuno BorgesShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#48ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
De Minaur A.
7-5 6-2
Borges N.
De Minaur A.
762
Borges N.
520

Alex De Minaur defeated Nuno Borges 7-5 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Borges N.
48
Serve
36
80
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
6.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
97
54
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+221 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1714
8.3Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1769
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
3.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
90

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Borges N.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%