Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Halle Round of 32
Halle · ATP · Round of 32
POR#50ATP
1728ELO
1599Grass ELO
$556kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#4ATP
1957ELO
1780Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$22MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLWL
Nuno Borges faces Felix Auger Aliassime in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Key context
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Australian Open 2026.
- Fatigue load: Felix Auger Aliassime carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Felix Auger Aliassime defends last year's round of 16.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCBorges N.18%
Auger Aliassime F.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1598
Surface ELO7.3+182 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1728
ELO gap7.9Overall Elo 1957
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.86 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in DEU (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
12°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Nuno Borges | 3-6 6-4 6-4 0-0 RET |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |
Statistics
Recent form65%1st serve in+2%67%
73%1st serve points won+4%77%
50%2nd serve points won+5%55%
65%Service points won+5%70%
34%Return points won+2%36%
61%Break points saved+2%63%
6.6Aces / match+1.27.8
2.5Double faults / match+0.22.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.