Jannik Sinner vs Casper RuudRome Masters Final

Rome Masters · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 17 May 2026 ·
clay
#13ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Sinner J.
6-4 6-4
Ruud C.
Sinner J.
662
Ruud C.
440

Jannik Sinner defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4 in the Rome Masters final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-0 6-1
2024-11-11Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2021-10-25ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-1
2020-10-26ViennaR32hardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Ruud C.
99
Serve
54
91
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
60%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Even
75%
72%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.0
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
75
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+243 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1973
9.9Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.1Overall Elo 1983
10.0
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
8.7
10.020-match win streak
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.6
Country comfort
6.8
Context
Defending pts
7.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
98

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Ruud C.
6-46-4