Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Djokovic N.
3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4
Sinner J.
Djokovic N.
364663
Sinner J.
636442

Novak Djokovic defeated Jannik Sinner 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–4, defending the title, but Novak Djokovic had arrived on a 8-match winning run. Novak Djokovic narrowed the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

47
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-10WimbledonSFgrassJannik Sinner6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassJannik Sinner6-3 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayJannik Sinner6-4 7-5 7-6(3)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3
2023-11-25Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs SRBRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 2-6 7-5
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
2023-11-13Tour FinalsFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-06-27WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic5-7 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Sinner J.
68
Serve
100
62
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
81%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
77%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 78 days (−1.2)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 71 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
8.0+241 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 2320
1.7
H2H
8.3
8.6
Surface form
10.0
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
10.015-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Country comfort
7.1
Context
8.5
Defending pts
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
55
43

Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Sinner J.[2]
3-66-34-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
6-47-656-736-747-5
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
7-57-617-5
Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2