Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicShanghai Masters Final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLL
Sinner J.
7-6 6-3
Djokovic N.
Sinner J.
7762
Djokovic N.
6430

Jannik Sinner defeated Novak Djokovic 7-6 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardNovak Djokovic3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassJannik Sinner6-3 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayJannik Sinner6-4 7-5 7-6(3)
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3
2023-11-25Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs SRBRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 2-6 7-5
2023-11-13Tour FinalsFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-06-27WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic5-7 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Djokovic N.
100
Serve
68
100
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
56%
Service points won·Even
72%
69%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
65%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
100
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+241 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 2022
8.1Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 2059
7.7
H2H
2.3
8.6
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
60
46

Sinner J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 139 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
7-646-3