Brandon Nakashima vs Jan Lennard Struff — Wimbledon Round of 64
Nakashima B.
Brandon Nakashima faces Jan Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #31, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Nakashima B. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Brandon Nakashima comes in with 10 days of rest and 87 games in 14d, vs Jan Lennard Struff's 1 and 100.
- Serve & return: Brandon Nakashima leads on Serve Rating (58), Jan Lennard Struff on Return Rating (41).
- Surface form: Brandon Nakashima 4 of 5, Jan Lennard Struff 3 of 5 on grass recently — Brandon Nakashima the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNakashima B.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Struff J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.