Ugo Humbert vs Zizou BergsWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#30ATP
1832ELO
1701Grass ELO
$940kYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
#48ATP
1756ELO
1628Grass ELO
$971kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLLWL
Humbert U.
vs
Bergs Z.

Ugo Humbert faces Zizou Bergs in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Ugo Humbert holds the paper edge — ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Humbert U.71%
Bergs Z.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Humbert U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Ugo Humbert comes in with 1 days of rest and 181 games in 14d, vs Zizou Bergs's 1 and 116.
  • Serve & return: Ugo Humbert brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 53), Zizou Bergs the stronger return game (Return Rating 36).
  • Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Marseille 2025.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1628
5.9Overall Elo 1832
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1756
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bergs Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.1
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
68
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Clear edge
37
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
91
Tiebreaks·Even
91
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
49
56

Humbert U.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 111 games (7d) · Bergs Z.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10MarseilleSFhardUgo Humbert6-4 6-4
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final