Zizou Bergs vs Jaime FariaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#37ATP
1748ELO
1619Grass ELO
$971kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLLLL
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
#98ATP
1696ELO
1604Grass ELO
$527kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWLWWW
Bergs Z.
vs
Faria J.

Zizou Bergs faces Jaime Faria in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Zizou Bergs holds the paper edge — ranked #37, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Bergs Z.55%
Faria J.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1604
5.6Overall Elo 1748
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bergs Z.Rising
Faria J.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bergs Z.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Faria J.

Faria J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
76
Break points won·Even
21
22
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
74

Bergs Z.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d) · Faria J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final