Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Fery — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Zizou Bergs
BEL
Zizou Bergs
#37ATP
1748ELO
1619Grass ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWLLL
—
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
GBR
Arthur Fery
#114ATP
1722ELO
1603Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$868kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWW
Bergs Z.
vs
Fery A.

Zizou Bergs faces Arthur Fery in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Zizou Bergs holds the paper edge — ranked #37, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC
Bergs Z.51%
Fery A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bergs Z.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Fery A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1603
5.3Overall Elo 1748
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
7.0Home country · 6/12 here
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bergs Z.Stable
Fery A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
Bergs Z.Fery A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bergs Z.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Fery A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bergs Z.Fery A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
85
Break points won·Clear edge
21
33
Deciding sets·Even
93
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bergs Z.Fery A.
Freshness·Clear edge
49
72

Bergs Z.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 123 games (7d) · Fery A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.[1]
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.[23]
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-31-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-27-667-5
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Struff J.
6-46-766-757-666-77
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.[8]
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Prizmic D.
7-626-37-5
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-04-66-33-67-65
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[24]
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.[7]
3-64-62-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-36-26-2
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
2-66-26-756-46-3
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-4
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
6-746-36-731-6
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
6-756-45-73-6
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
6-47-53-66-3
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
7-664-66-26-3
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
5-77-636-36-3
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
6-26-27-5
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
6-746-46-747-662-6
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
4-66-27-56-2
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
3-64-66-75
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
6-36-26-4
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
4-66-734-6
Halys Q.
Giron M.
6-753-64-6
Royer V.
Zverev A.
1-63-66-73
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
Jodar R.
Mochizuki S.
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
Safiullin R.
Fonseca J.[24]
Rinderknech A.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
Svajda Z.
Khachanov K.
Cobolli F.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Bergs Z.
Fery A.
Fritz T.
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
Giron M.
Zverev A.
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