Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel — London Round of 32
London · ATP · Round of 32
GBRWC#141ATP
1671ELO
1494Grass ELO
$196kYTD
$735kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
GBRWC#150ATP
1680ELO
1544Grass ELO
$44kYTD
$158kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLLL
Fery A.vs
Samuel T.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTCFery A.41%
Samuel T.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Samuel T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1494
Surface ELO5.6+50 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap5.1Overall Elo 1680
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form7.07 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 25 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.