Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery — London Round of 16
GBR
Mannarino A.
Adrian Mannarino faces Arthur Fery in the London round of 16 on grass. Adrian Mannarino holds the paper edge — ranked #46, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Adrian Mannarino 100 games in 14 days, Arthur Fery 108.
- Last match: Adrian Mannarino dropped the opening set before beating Jakub Mensik 5–7 7–6 7–6.
- Last match: Arthur Fery handed Toby Samuel a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMannarino A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Fery A.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.