Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
Grigor Dimitrov
BUL
Grigor Dimitrov
#138ATP
1744ELO
1662Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
2 — 3
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 2nd on
GBR
Arthur Fery
#37ATP
1721ELO
1593Grass ELO
$344kYTD
$884kCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Dimitrov G.
5-7 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-7
Fery A.
Dimitrov G.
566462
Fery A.
734673

Arthur Fery defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 3-6, 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Fery. Both players recorded four service breaks and converted 44% of break points; Fery hit seven aces to Dimitrov's 19, and had zero double faults to Dimitrov's seven.

Around the match

  • “A week ago, I would have been happy to win a few matches here – and now, winning four, I'm in the quarters. It's a dream.”

    Fery A.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “Just trying to keep fighting, keep a good attitude, committing to what I'm trying to do on the court.”

    Fery A.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Fery closed it out in five sets, 7–5 3–6 4–6 6–4 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Dimitrov G.Fery A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dimitrov G.Fery A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
85
Break points won·Dominant
64
33
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
46

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Dimitrov G.64%
Fery A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dimitrov G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dimitrov G.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Fery A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+59 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1603
5.4Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in United Kingdom (46)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dimitrov G.Fery A.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
77

Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Fery A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 18%

Draw