Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic — London Round of 32
FRA
CRO
Humbert U.
Ugo Humbert faces Marin Cilic in the London round of 32 on grass. Ugo Humbert holds the paper edge — ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ugo Humbert 47 games in 14 days, Marin Cilic 90.
- Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Paris Masters 2020.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHumbert U.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | R16 | hard | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-7(4) 6-3 |