Alex Michelsen vs Ugo HumbertIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Michelsen A.
7-5 6-7 7-6
Humbert U.
Michelsen A.
765782
Humbert U.
577661

Alex Michelsen defeated Ugo Humbert 7-5 6-7 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Ugo Humbert in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01BrisbaneR32hardUgo Humbert6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Humbert U.
34
Serve
64
46
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
68%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
46
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1868
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
90

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%