Michael Zheng vs Cameron NorrieWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#110ATP
1695ELO
1515Grass ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 2nd on
#35ATP
1829ELO
1719Grass ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Zheng M.
6-7 6-2 6-7 6-3 7-6
Norrie C.
Zheng M.
666673
Norrie C.
727362

Michael Zheng defeated Cameron Norrie in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match lasted five sets, with Zheng winning 6-7, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3, 7-6. Zheng hit 21 aces to Norrie's 6 and converted 31% of break points to Norrie's 17%, with Zheng also breaking Norrie's serve four times to Norrie's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Even
4.9
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Zheng M.12%
Norrie C.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Norrie C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Grass Elo 1490
Surface ELO
7.9+229 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1829
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.83 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.2Won 54% in United Kingdom (37)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
76

Zheng M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Norrie C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw