Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic — Wimbledon Round of 64
Tsitsipas S.
Stefanos Tsitsipas faces Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Novak Djokovic holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 12–2, defending last year's semi-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Djokovic N. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Novak Djokovic leads the head-to-head 12–2; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Paris Olympics 2024.
- Stage: Stefanos Tsitsipas defends last year's round of 128; Novak Djokovic defends last year's semi-final.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on grass
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadTsitsipas S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–12| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | QF | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | F | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) |
| 2022-11-14 | Tour Finals | RR | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | SF | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 3-6 7-6(4) |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | F | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | F | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-0 7-6(5) |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | F | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | F | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | QF | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2019-10-07 | Shanghai Masters | QF | hard | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-05-06 | Madrid Masters | F | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-08-06 | Canada Masters | R16 | hard | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |