Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio BuseWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#81ATP
1691ELO
1629Grass ELO
$487kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#34ATP
1826ELO
1623Grass ELO
$905kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Brooksby J.
vs
Buse I.

Jenson Brooksby faces Ignacio Buse in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Brooksby J.30%
Buse I.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Buse I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1623
3.3Overall Elo 1691
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.73 of last 7 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Buse I.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brooksby J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
87
Break points won·Dominant
78
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
83

Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Buse I.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
Merida Aguilar D.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
Damm M.