Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian OfnerWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#73ATP
1841ELO
1662Grass ELO
$736kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWL
2 — 3
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 8 · 2nd on
#127ATP
1713ELO
1635Grass ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLW
Medjedovic H.
6-1 2-6 6-4 3-6 4-6
Ofner S.
Medjedovic H.
626342
Ofner S.
164663

Sebastian Ofner defeated Hamad Medjedovic in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 1-6, 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4. Ofner hit 30 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Medjedovic had 13 aces and 12 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassSebastian Ofner7-6 3-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.0
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
88
Break points won·Dominant
6
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Medjedovic H.75%
Ofner S.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Medjedovic H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1635
6.6Overall Elo 1840
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1713
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
4.14 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
82

Medjedovic H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw