Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Valentin Royer
FRA
Valentin Royer
#75ATP
1650ELO
1601Grass ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Alexander Zverev
GER
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
1914Grass ELO
$6.3MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWW
Royer V.
vs
Zverev A.

Valentin Royer faces Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Alexander Zverev holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Royer V.6%
Zverev A.94%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Royer V.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Grass Elo 1601
Surface ELO
8.9+313 Grass Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1650
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2100
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 65% in GBR (26)
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Royer V.Stable
Zverev A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
Royer V.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
9.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Royer V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Royer V.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
30
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Royer V.Zverev A.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
87

Royer V.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zverev A.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.
6-16-753-60-0
Mensik J.
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.
Atmane T.
7-666-14-60-0
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-50-0
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
—
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
—
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
—
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—