Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Zverev A.
6-2 6-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Zverev A.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
240

Alexander Zverev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending the title. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0)
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardAlexander Zverev6-7(4) 6-2 6-1
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-1 6-1
2020-10-12Cologne 1SFhardAlexander Zverev7-5 7-6(3)
2020-08-31US OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Davidovich Fokina A.
71
Serve
40
42
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+199 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1842
7.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1893
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.5
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
2.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.5
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
75

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%