Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
hard
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Zverev A.
6-7 6-2 6-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Zverev A.
64662
Davidovich Fokina A.
77211

Alexander Zverev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-7 6-2 6-1 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0)
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-1 6-1
2020-10-12Cologne 1SFhardAlexander Zverev7-5 7-6(3)
2020-08-31US OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Davidovich Fokina A.
71
Serve
40
42
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+199 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1842
7.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1893
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.4
Surface form
5.6
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.1
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
39
79

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%