Valentin Royer vs Mariano NavoneShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#77ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#48ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Royer V.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Navone M.
Royer V.
3662
Navone M.
6441

Valentin Royer defeated Mariano Navone 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #48, defending last year's round of 128, but Valentin Royer had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Royer V.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Royer V.Navone M.
30
Serve
3
20
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
86
Break points won·Dominant
30
90
Deciding sets·Even
76
77
Tiebreaks·Even
62
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1585
Surface ELO
5.8+108 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
2.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
96

Royer V.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Navone M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%