Karen Khachanov vs Yannick Hanfmann — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Karen Khachanov
RUS
Karen Khachanov
#22ATP
1828ELO
1725Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Yannick Hanfmann
GER
Yannick Hanfmann
#56ATP
1781ELO
1645Grass ELO
$552kYTD
$4.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWLLW
Khachanov K.
vs
Hanfmann Y.

Karen Khachanov faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Karen Khachanov holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Khachanov K.66%
Hanfmann Y.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Khachanov K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Khachanov K.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Hanfmann Y.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1645
5.6Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1781
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.1Won 68% in GBR (28)
Country comfort
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Khachanov K.Stable
Hanfmann Y.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
Khachanov K.Hanfmann Y.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.5
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Khachanov K.Hanfmann Y.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
61
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
81
26
Deciding sets·Slight edge
84
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Khachanov K.Hanfmann Y.
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Khachanov K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Hanfmann Y.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-22Miami MastersR64hardKaren Khachanov6-3 6-2
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.
6-16-753-60-0
Mensik J.
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.
Atmane T.
7-666-14-60-0
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-50-0
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
—
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
—
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
—
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
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