Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann — Halle Round of 32
BRA
Fonseca J.
Joao Fonseca faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Joao Fonseca holds the paper edge — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fonseca J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Stage: Joao Fonseca defends last year's round of 32; Yannick Hanfmann defends last year's round of 32.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFonseca J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hanfmann Y.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.