Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan Lennard StruffWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#96ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
#74ATP
1692ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWLWL
Hurkacz H.
vs
Struff J.

Hubert Hurkacz faces Jan Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. Jan Lennard Struff holds the paper edge — ranked #74, defending last year's round of 32. Recent grass form is closely matched. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2, Jan Lennard Struff ahead 1–0 on grass.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1623
6.3Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1692
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in GBR (23)
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in GBR (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hurkacz H.Surging
Struff J.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.3
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
40
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
42

Hurkacz H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d) · Struff J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-7(4) 7-6(6)
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHubert Hurkacz6-1 6-4
2023-06-12StuttgartSFgrassJan Lennard Struff3-6 6-3 6-3
2016-09-16Davis Cup WG PO: GER vs POLRRclayJan Lennard Struff7-6(4) 6-4 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Mochizuki S.
Hurkacz H.
Struff J.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Safiullin R.
Djokovic N.