Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan Lennard StruffBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Hurkacz H.
6-1 6-4
Struff J.
Hurkacz H.
662
Struff J.
140

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-1 6-4 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #74, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-05WimbledonR16grassJan Lennard Struff6-3 7.7-6.5 6.2-7.7 5-7 2-4
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-7(4) 7-6(6)
2023-06-12StuttgartSFgrassJan Lennard Struff3-6 6-3 6-3
2016-09-16Davis Cup WG PO: GER vs POLRRclayJan Lennard Struff7-6(4) 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Struff J.
67
Serve
36
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
68%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.6
8.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
40
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
68
Tiebreaks·Even
97
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+92 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1634
6.5Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
53

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast