Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Jiri Lehecka
CZE
Jiri Lehecka
#14ATP
1922ELO
1798Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1761ELO
1625Grass ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
Lehecka J.
vs
Molcan A.

Jiri Lehecka faces Alex Molcan in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jiri Lehecka is the paper favourite — ranked #14, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage — but Alex Molcan arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass to Jiri Lehecka's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Lehecka J.87%
Molcan A.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Lehecka J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lehecka J.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+173 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1625
7.0Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1761
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Lehecka J.Stable
Molcan A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
Lehecka J.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lehecka J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Lehecka J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Lehecka J.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Even
62
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Lehecka J.Molcan A.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
86

Lehecka J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Molcan A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-2 2-3
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-0 4-6 6-3 3-6 0-0
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
1-6 5-7 1-1
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.[19]
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.[15]
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.[20]
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.[10]
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.[2]
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
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Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
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Medvedev D.
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Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
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Rinderknech A.
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