Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils — Wimbledon Round of 64
FRA
Berrettini M.
Matteo Berrettini faces Arthur Fils in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Arthur Fils holds the paper edge — ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Fils A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Matteo Berrettini dropped the opening set before beating Stan Wawrinka 6–7 7–6 7–6 7–6.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Tokyo 2024.
- Stage: Matteo Berrettini defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | R16 | hard | Arthur Fils | 6-7(5) 0-0 RET |