Alexander Zverev vs Matteo BerrettiniIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Zverev A.
6-3 6-4
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.
662
Berrettini M.
340

Alexander Zverev defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR32clayMatteo Berrettini2-6 6-3 7-5
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassMatteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6(7) 1-0 RET
2021-05-03Madrid MastersFclayAlexander Zverev6-7(8) 6-4 6-3
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersSFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersR32clayMatteo Berrettini7-5 7-5
2018-05-14Rome MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Berrettini M.
71
Serve
57
42
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
81
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
90
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+244 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1797
8.2Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
4.6
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
76

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%