Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander ZverevMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Berrettini M.
2-6 6-3 7-5
Zverev A.
Berrettini M.
2672
Zverev A.
6351

Matteo Berrettini defeated Alexander Zverev 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 16. Matteo Berrettini narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassMatteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6(7) 1-0 RET
2021-05-03Madrid MastersFclayAlexander Zverev6-7(8) 6-4 6-3
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersSFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersR32clayMatteo Berrettini7-5 7-5
2018-05-14Rome MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Berrettini M.Zverev A.
51
Serve
64
34
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.9
7.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
53
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Clay Elo 1790
Surface ELO
8.1+261 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2100
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.8
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
45

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%